My-library.info
Все категории

Нассим Талеб - Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости

На электронном книжном портале my-library.info можно читать бесплатно книги онлайн без регистрации, в том числе Нассим Талеб - Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости. Жанр: Экономика издательство неизвестно, год 2004. В онлайн доступе вы получите полную версию книги с кратким содержанием для ознакомления, сможете читать аннотацию к книге (предисловие), увидеть рецензии тех, кто произведение уже прочитал и их экспертное мнение о прочитанном.
Кроме того, в библиотеке онлайн my-library.info вы найдете много новинок, которые заслуживают вашего внимания.

Название:
Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости
Издательство:
неизвестно
ISBN:
нет данных
Год:
неизвестен
Дата добавления:
25 июль 2018
Количество просмотров:
3 099
Текст:
Ознакомительная версия
Читать онлайн
Нассим Талеб - Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости

Нассим Талеб - Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости краткое содержание

Нассим Талеб - Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - описание и краткое содержание, автор Нассим Талеб, читайте бесплатно онлайн на сайте электронной библиотеки My-Library.Info

Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости читать онлайн бесплатно

Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - читать книгу онлайн бесплатно, автор Нассим Талеб
Конец ознакомительного отрывкаКупить книгу

Ознакомительная версия.

Kim, E. Han, Adair Morse, and Luigi Zingales, 2006,"Are Elite Universities Losing Their Competitive Edge?" NBER Working Paper 12245.

Kindleberger, Charles P., 2001,Manias, Panics, and Crashes. New York: Wiley.


King,Gary,andLangcheZeng,2005,"WhenCanHistoryBeOurGuide? ThePitfallsofCounterfactualInference."WorkingPaper,Harvard University.

Kirkpatrick,Mark,andLeeAlanDugatkin,1994,"SexualSelection

andtheEvolutionaryEffectsofCopyingMateChoice."Behavioral

Evolutionary Sociobiology 34:443-449. Klayman,J.,1995,"VarietiesofConfirmationBias."InJ.Busemeyer,

R.Hastie,andD.L.Medin,eds.,Decision Making from a Cognitive

Perspective. The Psychology of Learning and Motivation 32:83-136.

NewYork:AcademicPress. Klayman,J.,andY.-W.Ha,1987,"Confirmation,Disconfirmation,and

InformationinHypothesisTesting."Psychological Review 94:211-228. Klayman,Joshua,JackB.Soil,ClaudiaGonzalez-Vallejo,andSema

Barlas,1999,"Overconfidence:ItDependsonHow,What,andWhom

YouAsk."Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

79(3):216-247. Klebanoff,Arthur,2002,The Agent London:Texere. Klein,Gary,1998,Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions.

Cambridge:TheMITPress. Knight,Frank,1921,1965,Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. NewYork:

HarperandRow.

Koehler,J.J.,B.J.Gibbs,andR.M.Hogarth,1994,"Shatteringthe

IllusionofControl:MultishotVersusSingle-shotGambles."Journal

of Behavioral Decision Making 7:183-191. Koestler,Arthur,1959,The Sleepwalkers: A History of Man's Changing

Vision of the Universe. London:Penguin. Korda,Michael,2000, Another Life: A Memoir of Other People. NewYork:

RandomHouse.

Koriat,A.,S.Lichtenstein,andB.Fischhoff,1980,"ReasonsforConfidence."Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Learning and Memory 6:107-118.

Kreps,J.,andN.B.Davies,1993,An Introduction to Behavioral Ecology, 3rded.Oxford:BlackwellScientificPublications.

Kristeva,Julia,1998,Time and Sense. NewYork:ColumbiaUniversity Press.

Kruger,J.,andD.Dunning,1999,"UnskilledandUnawareofIt:How DifficultiesinRecognizingOne>sOwnIncompetenceLeadtoInflated


Self-Assessments." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 77(6): 1121-1134.

Kunda, Ziva, 1990,"The Case for Motivated Reasoning." Psychological

Bulletin 108:480-498.

>1999,Social Cognition: Making Sense of People. Cambridge: The

MIT Press.

Kurz, Mordecai, 1997,"Endogenous Uncertainty: A Unified View of Market Volatility." Working Paper: Stanford University Press.

Kyburg, Henry E., Jr., 1983,Epistemology and Inference. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.


Lad, F., 1984,"The Calibration Question." British Journal of the

Philosophy of Science 35:213-221. Lahire, Bernard, 2006,La condition litteraire. Paris: Editions La

Decouverte.

Lakoff, George, and Mark Johnson, 1980,Metaphors We Live By.

Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. Lamont, Owen A., 2002,"Macroeconomic Forecasts and Microeconomic

*Forecasters." Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 48(3): 265-280.

Lane, R. D., E. M. Reiman, M. M. Bradley, P. J. Lang, G.L. Ahern, R. J. Davidson, and G.E. Schwartz, 1997,"Neuroanatomical correlates

*of pleasant and unpleasant emotion." Neuropsychologia 35(11):1437-^1444.

Langer, E. J., 1975,"The Illusion of Control." Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 32:311-328.

Larrick, R. P., 1993,"Motivational Factors in Decision Theories: The Role of Self-Protection." Psychological Bulletin 113:440-450.

Leary, D. E., 1987,"From Act Psychology to Probabilistic Functionalism: The Place of Egon Brunswik in the History of Psychology." In M. G. Ash and W. R. Woodward, eds., Psychology in Twentieth-century Thought and Society. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

LeDoux, Joseph, 1998,The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life. New York: Simon 8cSchuster.

,2002,Synaptic Self: How Our Brains Become Who We Are. New

York: Viking.

LeGoff, Jacques, 1985,Les intellectuels au moyen age. Paris: Points

Histoire.


Levi,Isaac,1970,Gambling with Truth. Cambridge,Mass.:TheMITPress. Lichtenstein,Sarah,andBaruchFischhoff,1977,"DoThoseWhoKnow

MoreAlsoKnowMoreAboutHowMuchTheyKnow?TheCalibration

ofProbabilityJudgments."Organizational Behavior and Human

Performance 20:159-183. Lichtenstein,Sarah,andBaruchFischhoff,1981,"TheEffectsof

GenderandInstructionsonCalibration."Decision Research Report

81-5.Eugene,Ore.:DecisionResearch. Lichtenstein,Sarah,BaruchFischhoff,andLawrencePhillips,

1982,"CalibrationofProbabilities:TheStateoftheArtto1980."

InD.Kahneman,P.Slovic,andA.Tversky,eds.,Judgment Under

Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge:CambridgeUniversity

Press.

Lim,Т.,2001,"RationalityandAnalysts'ForecastBias" Journal of Finance 56(1):369-385.

Lissowski,Grzegorz,Tadeuszlyszka,andWlodzimierzOkrasa,1991, "PrinciplesofDistributiveJustice:ExperimentsinPolandand America."Journal ofConflict Resolution 35(1):98-119.

Liu,Jing,1998,"Post-EarningsAnnouncementDriftandAnalysts' Forecasts."WorkingPaper,UCLA.

Loewenstein,G.F.,E.U.Weber,С.K.Hsee,andE.S.Welch,2001,"Risk asFeelings."Psychological Bulletin 127:267-286.

Loewenstein,George,1992,"TheFallandRiseofPsychological ExplanationsintheEconomicsofIntertemporalChoice."InGeorge LoewensteinandJonElster,eds.,Choice over Time. NewYork:Russell SageFoundation.

Loftus,ElizabethF.,andKatherineKetcham,1994,The Myth of Repressed Memory: False Memories and Allegations and Sexual Abuse. NewYork:St.Martin'sPress.

Lotka,AlfredJ.,1926,"TheFrequencyDistributionofScientificProductivity."Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences 16(12): 317-323.

Lowenstein,R.,2000,When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management. NewYork:RandomHouse.

Lucas,RobertE.,1978,"AssetPricesinanExchangeEconomy." Econometrica 46:1429-1445.

Luce,R.D.,andH.Raiffa,1957,Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey. NewYork:Wiley.


Mach,Е.,1896,"On the Part Played by Accident in Invention and Discovery." Monist 6:161-175.

Machina,M. J., and M. Rothschild, 1987,"Risk." In J. Eatwell, M. Mil-gate, and P. Newman, eds., 1987.

Magee,Bryan, 1985,Philosophy and the Real World: An Introduction to

Karl Popper La Salle, 111.: Open Court Books.,1997,Confessions of a Philosopher. London: Weidenfeld &c

Nicolson.

Maines,L. A., and J. R. Hand, 1996,"Individuals' Perceptions and Misperceptions of Time-series Properties of Quarterly Earnings." Accounting Review 71:317-336.

Makridakis,S., A. Andersen, R. Carbone, R. Fildes, M. Hibon, R. Le-wandowski, J . Newton, R. Parzen, and R. Winkler, 1982,"The Accuracy of Extrapolation (Time Series) Methods: Results of a Forecasting Competition." Journal of Forecasting 1:111-153.

Makridakis,S., C. Chatfield, M. Hibon, M. Lawrence, T. Mills, K. Ord, and L. F. Simmons, 1993,"The M2-Competition: A Real-Time Judgmentally Based Forecasting Study" (with commentary). International Journal of Forecasting 5:29.

Makridakis,S., and M. Hibon, 2000,"The Мз-Competition: Results, Conclusions and Implications." International Journal of Forecasting 16:451-476.

Mandelbrot,В., 1963,"The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices."

Journal of Business 36(4):394-419. Mandelbrot,Benoit, 1965,"Information Theory and Psycholinguistics."

In B. Wolman and E. Nagel, eds., Scientific Psychology: Principles and

Approaches. New York: Basic Books.

,1975,Les objets fractals: forme, hasard, et dimension. Paris:

Flammarion.

,1982,The Fractal Geometry of Nature. New York: W. H. Freeman

and Company.

,1997a,Fractales, hasard et finance. Paris: Flammarion.

,1997b,Fractals and Scaling in Finance: Discontinuity,

Concentration, Risk. New York: Springer-Verlag. Mandelbrot,Benoit, and Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2006a,"A Focus

on the Exceptions That Prove the Rule." In Mastering Uncertainty:

Financial Times Series.

,2006b,"Matematica della sagessa." // Sole 24Ore, October 9.


,2007а,"RandomJumpNotRandomWalk."Manuscript.

,2007b,"Mildvs.WildRandomness:FocusingonRisks

thatMatter."ForthcominginFrankDiebold,NeilDoherty, andRichardHerring,eds.,The Known, the Unknown and the

> Unknowable in Financial Institutions. Princeton,N.J.:Princeton UniversityPress.

Mandler,J.M.,andL.McDonough,1998,"StudiesinInductive InferenceinInfancy."Cognitive Psychology 37:60-96.

Margalit,Avishai,2002,The Ethics of Memory. Cambridge,Mass.: HarvardUniversityPress.

Markowitz,Harry,1952,"PortfolioSelection."Journal of Finance (March):77-91.

,1959,Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments,

2nded.NewYork:Wiley.

Marmott,Michael,2004,The Status Syndrome: How Social Standing Affects Our Health and Longevity. London:Bloomsbury.

Marr,D.,1982,Vision. NewYork:W.H.FreemanandCompany.

Masters,John,1969,Casanova. NewYork:BernardGeisAssociates.

May,R.M.,1973,Stability and Complexity in Model Ecosystems. Princeton, N.J.:PrincetonUniversityPress.

May,R.S.,1986,"OverconfidenceasaResultofIncompleteandWrong Knowledge."InR.W.Scholz,ed.,Current Issues in West German Decision Research. FrankfurtamMain,Germany:Lang.

Mayseless,O.,andA.W.Kruglanski,1987,"WhatMakesYouSo Sure?EffectsofEpistemicMotivationsonJudgmentalConfidence. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 39:162-183.

McClelland,A.G.R.,andF.Bolger,1994,"TheCalibrationofSubjective Probabilities:TheoriesandModels,1980-1994."InG.Wrightand P.Ayton,eds.,Subjective Probability. Chichester,England:Wiley.

McCloskey,Deirdre,1990,If You're So Smart: The Narrative of Economic Expertise. Chicago:TheUniversityofChicagoPress.

,1992,"TheArtofForecasting:FromAncienttoModernTimes."

Cato Journal 12(1):23-43.

McClure,SamuelM.,DavidI.Laibson,GeorgeF.Loewenstein,and JonathanD.Cohen,2004,"SeparateNeuralSystemsValueImmediate andDelayedMonetaryRewards."Science 306(5695):503-507.

McManus,Chris,2002,Right Hand, Left Hand. London:OrionBooks.


McNees,StephenК.,1978,"RebuttalofArmstrong."Journal of Business 5i(4):573-577.

,1995,"AnAssessmentofthe'Official1EconomicForecasts."New

England Economic Review (July/August):13-23. McNeill,WilliamH.,1976,Plagues and Peoples. NewYork:Anchor

Books.

Medawar,Peter,1996,The Strange Case of the Spotted Mice and Other Classic Essays on Science. Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress.

Meehl,PaulE.,1954,Clinical Versus Statistical Predictions: A Theoretical Analysis and Revision of the Literature. Minneapolis:Universityof MinnesotaPress.

>1973,"WhyIDoNotAttendinCaseConferences."InPsy-

chodiagnosis: Selected Papers, 225-302.Minneapolis:Universityof

MinnesotaPress.■»•»»iц.:*к.5.

Mendenhall,RichardR.,1991,"EvidenceofPossibleUnderweighting ofEarnings-relatedInformation."Journal of Accounting Research 29: 170-178.

Ознакомительная версия.


Нассим Талеб читать все книги автора по порядку

Нассим Талеб - все книги автора в одном месте читать по порядку полные версии на сайте онлайн библиотеки My-Library.Info.


Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости отзывы

Отзывы читателей о книге Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости, автор: Нассим Талеб. Читайте комментарии и мнения людей о произведении.

Прокомментировать
Подтвердите что вы не робот:*
Подтвердите что вы не робот:*
Все материалы на сайте размещаются его пользователями.
Администратор сайта не несёт ответственности за действия пользователей сайта..
Вы можете направить вашу жалобу на почту librarybook.ru@gmail.com или заполнить форму обратной связи.