Ознакомительная версия.
Sornette,D.,F.Deschatres,T.Gilbert,andY.Ageon,2004,"Endogenous VersusExogenousShocksinComplexNetworks:AnEmpiricalTest." Physical Review Letters 93:228701.
Sornette,D.,andK.Ide,2001,"TheKalman-LevyFilter,"PhysicaD 151: 142-174.
Sornette,Didier,2003,Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in
Complex Financial Systems. Princeton,N.J.:PrincetonUniversity
Press.
,2004,Critical Phenomena in Natural Sciences: Chaos, Fractals,
Self-organization and Disorder: Concepts and Tools, 2nded.Berlinand
Heidelberg:Springer. Sornette,Didier,andDanielZajdenweber,1999,"TheEconomic
ReturnofResearch:TheParetoLawandItsImplications."European
Physical Journal В 8(4):653-664. Soros,George,1988,The Alchemy of Finance: Reading the Mind of the
Market. NewYork:Simon&c Schuster.
Spariosu,Mihail., 2004,The University of Global Intelligence and Human Development: Towards an Ecology of Global Learning. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press*
Spasser,Mark A., 1997,"The Enacted Fate of Undiscovered Public Knowledge." Journal of the American Society for Information Science 48(8):707-717.
Spencer,B. A., and G. S. Taylor, 1988,"Effects of Facial Attractiveness and Gender on Causal Attributions of Managerial Performance." Sex Roles 19(5/6):273-285.
Sperber,Dan, 1996a,La contagion des idees. Paris: Odile Jacob.
,1996b,Explaining Culture: A Naturalistic Approach. Oxford:
Blackwell. ' K
,1997,"Intuitive and Reflective Beliefs." Mind and Language 12(1):
67-83.
,2001,"An. Evolutionary Perspective on Testimony and
,A Argumentation." Philosophical Topics 29:401-413.
Sperber,Dan, and Deirdre Wilson, 1995,Relevance: Communication and
Cognition, 2nded. Oxford: Blackwell.
,2004a,"Relevance Theory." In L. R. Horn, and G. Ward, eds.,
The Handbook of Pragmatics. Oxford: Blackwell.
,2004b,"The Cognitive Foundations of Cultural Stability and
•>i#« Diversity." Trends in Cognitive Sciences 8(f): 40-44.
Squire,Larry, and Eric R. Kandel, 2000,Memory: From Mind to
Molecules. New York: Owl Books. Stanley,H. E., L. A. N. Amaral, P. Gopikrishnan, and V. Plerou, 2000,
"Scale Invariance and Universality of Economic Fluctuations."
Physica A 283:31-41. Stanley,T. J., 2000,The Millionaire Mind. Kansas City: Andrews McMeel
Publishing.
Stanley,T. J., and W. D. Danko, 1996,The Millionaire Next Door: The Surprising Secrets of America's Wealthy. Atlanta, Ga.: Longstreet Press.
Stanovich,K., and R. West, 2000,"Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate." Behavioral and Brain Sciences 23:645-665.
Stanovich,К.E., 1986,"Matthew Effects in Reading: Some Consequences of Individual Differences in the acquisition of literacy." Reading Research Quarterly 21:360-407.
Stein,D.L.,ed.,1989,Lectures in the Sciences of Complexity. Reading,
Mass.:Addison-Wesley. Sterelny,Kim,2001,Dawkins vs. Gould: Survival of the Fittest.
Cambridge,England:TotemBooks. Stewart,Ian,1989,Does God Play Dice? The New Mathematics of Chaos.
London:PenguinBooks.
,1993,"Chaos."InLeoHoweandAlanWain,eds.,1993.
Stigler,StephenM.,1986,The History of Statistics: The Measurement
of Uncertainty Before 1900.Cambridge,Mass.:TheBelknapPressof
HarvardUniversity.
,2002,Statistics on the Table: The History of Statistical Concepts
and Methods. Cambridge,Mass.:HarvardUniversityPress. Stiglitz,Joseph,1994,Whither Socialism Cambridge,Mass.:TheМГГPress. Strawson,Galen,1994,Mental Reality. Cambridge,Mass.:TheMITPress.
,2004,"AgainstNarrativity."Ratio 17:428-452.
Strogatz,S.H.,1994,Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos, with Applications
to Physics, Biology, Chemistry, and Engineering. Reading,Mass.:
Addison-Wesley.
Strogatz,StevenH.,2001,"ExploringComplexNetworks."Nature 410: 268-276.
,2003,Sync: How Order Emerges from Chaos in the Universe,
Nature, and Daily Life. NewYork:Hyperion. Suantak,L.,F.Bolger,andW.R.Ferrell,1996,"TheHard-easyEffect
inSubjectiveProbabilityCalibration."Organizational Behavior and
Human Decision Processes 67:201-221. Suddendorf,Thomas,2006,"Enhanced:ForesightandEvolutionof
theHumanMind."Science 312(5776):1006-1007. Sullivan,R.,A.Timmermann,andH.White,1999,"Data-snooping,
Technical Trading Rule Performanceand the Bootstrap."Journal of Finance 54:1647-1692. Sunstein,CassR.,2002,Risk and Reason: Safety, Law, and the Environment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Surowiecki,James,2004,The Wisdom of Crowds. NewYork:Doub-
leday.
Sushil,Bikhchandani,DavidHirshleifer,andIvoWelch,1992,"ATheory ofFads,Fashion,Custom,andCulturalChangeasInformational Cascades."Journal of Political Economy 100(5):992-1026.
Sutton,J.,1997,"Gibrat'sLegacy."Journal of Economic Literature 35: 40-59.
Swanson,D.R.,1986a,"FishOil,Raynaud'sSyndromeandUndiscovered PublicKnowledge."Perspectives in Biology and Medicine 30(1):7-18.
,1986b,"UndiscoveredPublicKnowledge."Library Quarterly 56:
103-118.
,1987,"TwoMedicalLiteraturesThatAreLogicallybutNotBib-
liographicallyConnected."Journal of the American Society for Information Science 38:228-233.
Swets,J.A.,R.M.Dawes,andJ.Monahan,2000a,"BetterDecisions ThroughScience."Scientific American (October):82-87.
,2000b,"PsychologicalScienceCanImproveDiagnostic
Decisions."Psychogical Science in the Public Interest 1:1-26.
Szenberg,Michael,ed.,1992,Eminent Economists: Their Life Philosophies. Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress.
Tabor,M.,1989,Chaos and Integrability in Nonlinear Dynamics: An
Introduction. NewYork:Wiley. Taine,HippolyteAdolphe,1868,1905.Les philosophes classiques duXDCe
siecle en France, дёте ed.Paris:Hachette. Taleb,N.N.,1997,Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic
Options. NewYork:Wiley.
,2004a,Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life
and in the Markets. NewYork:RandomHouse.
,2004b,"TheseExtremeExceptionsofCommodityDerivatives."
InHelyetteGeman,Commodities and Commodity Derivatives. New
York:Wiley.
——,2004c,"BleedorBlowup:WhatDoesEmpiricalPsychology TellUsAboutthePreferenceforNegativeSkewness?"Journal of Behavioral Finance 5(1):2-7.
,2004d,"TheBlackSwan:WhyDon'tWeLearnThatWeDon't
Learn?"PaperpresentedattheUnitedStatesDepartmentofDefense HighlandForum,Summer2004.
,2oo4e,"RootsofUnfairness."Literary Research/Recherche
Litteraire 21(41-42):241-254.
,2004f,"OnSkewnessinInvestmentChoices."Greenwich
Roundtable Quarterly 2.sSgun
, 2005, "Fat Tails, Asymmetric Knowledge, and Decision Making:
Essay in Honor of Benoit Mandelbrot's 8oth Birthday." Technical paper series, Wilmott (March): 56-59.
, 2006a, "Homo Ludens and Homo Economicus." Foreword to
Aaron Brown's The Poker Face of Wall Street. New York: Wiley.
, 2006b, "On Forecasting." In John Brockman, ed., In What We
Believe But Cannot Prove: Today's Leading Thinkers on Science in the Age of Certainty. New York: Harper Perennial.
, 2007, "Scale Invariance in Practice: Some Patches and Workable
Fixes." Preprint.
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, and Avital Pilpel, 2004, "I problemi epistemologici del risk management." In Daniele Pace, a cura di, Economia del rischio: Antologia di scritti su rischio e decisione economica. Milano: Giuffre.
Tashman, Leonard J., 2000, "Out of Sample Tests of Forecasting Accuracy: An Analysis and Review." International Journal of Forecasting
. 16(4): 437-450.
Teigen, К. H., 1974, "Overestimation of Subjective Probabilities." Scandinavian Journal of Psychology 15: 56-62.
Terracciano, A., et al., 2005, "National Character Does Not Reflect Mean Personality Traits." Science 310: 96.
Tetlock, Philip E., 1999, "Theory-Driven Reasoning About Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics: Are We Prisoners of Our Preconceptions?" American Journal of Political Science 43(2): 335-366.
, 2005, "Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We
Know?" Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Thaler, Richard, 1985, "Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice."
Marketing Science 4(3): 199-214. Thom, Rene, 1980, Paraboles et catastrophes. Paris: Champs Flammarion.
, 1993, Predire n'estpas expliquer. Paris: Champs Flammarion.
Thorley, 1999, "Investor Overconfidence and Trading Volume."
Working Paper, Santa Clara University. Tilly, Charles, 2006, Why? What Happens When People Give Reasons and
Why. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. Tinbergen, N., 1963, "On Aims and Methods in Ethology." Zeitschriftfur
Tierpsychologie 20: 410-433.
,1968,"OnWarandPeaceinAnimalsandMan:AnEthologist's
ApproachtotheBiologyofAggression."Science 160:1411-1418. Tobin,James,1958,"LiquidityPreferenceasBehaviorTowardsRisk."
Review of Economic Studies 67:65-86. Triantis,AlexanderJ.,andJamesE.Hodder,1990,"ValuingFlexibility
asaComplexOption."Journal of Finance 45(2):549-564. Trivers,Robert,2002,Natural Selection and Social Theory: Selected
Papers of Robert Trivers. Oxford:OxfordUniversityPress. Turner,Mark,1996,The Literary Mind. NewYork:OxfordUniversity
Press.
Tversky,A.,andD.Kahneman,1971,"BeliefintheLawofSmallNumbers."Psychology Bulletin 76(2):105-110.
,1973,"Availability:AHeuristicforJudgingFrequencyand
Probability."Cognitive Psychology 5:207-232.
,1974,"JudgementUnderUncertainty:HeuristicsandBiases."
Science 185:1124—1131.
,1982,"EvidentialImpactofBase-Rates."InD.Kahneman,P.
Slovic,andA.Tversky,eds.,Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge:CambridgeUniversityPress.
,1983,"ExtensionalVersusIntuitiveReasoning:TheConjunction
FallacyinProbabilityJudgment."Psychological Review 90:293-315.
,1992,"AdvancesinProspectTheory:CumulativeRepresentation
ofUncertainty."Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5:297-323.
Tversky,A.,andD.J.Koehler,1994,"SupportTheory:ANonextensional RepresentationofSubjectiveProbability."Psychological Review 101: 547-567.
Tyszka,Т.,andP.Zielonka,2002,"ExpertJudgments:FinancialAnalysts VersusWeatherForecasters."Journal of Psychology and Financial fV Markets 3(3):152-160.
Uglow,Jenny,2003,The Lunar Men: Five Friends Whose Curiosity Changed the World. NewYork:Farrar,Straus&Giroux.
Vale,NiltonBezerrado,JoseDelfino,andLucioFlavioBezerrado Vale,2005,"SerendipityinMedicineandAnesthesiology."Revista Brasileira de Anestesiologia 55(2):224-249.
van Tongeren, Paul, 2002, "Nietzsche's Greek Measure." Journal of
Nietzsche Studies 24: 5. Vandenbroucke, J. P., 1996, "Evidence-Based Medicine and 'Medicine
d'Observation', " Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 49(12): 1335-
1338.
Varela, Francisco J., 1988, Invitation aux sciences cognitives. Paris:
Ознакомительная версия.
